Thai Crisis: Thailand on the brink of civil war? Problem shifts to elite control Constitutional Court (Up-Date)

Deep division between the Red Shirts and Yingluck‘s Pheu Thai Party was put aside for now, as Sondhi of the Yellow Shirts, called on preparation to ask the Thai King, to grant Thailand a government. That Sondhi call, where Sondhi is considered the key strategist of the elite establishment, comes as the Thai Constitutional Court, in the midst of the anti Amnesty Bill political up-heaval last week, made a statement that it will decide if Parliament amending the constitution to require Senators to be elected, if it is against the constitution. If the constitutional court rule that it is not legal, one possible outcome is the kicking out of office most MPs and Senators in Parliament. The Thai Constitutional Court is controlled by the elite. According to the theory going around, that emptying Parliament of MPs and Senators, will leave a political vacuum. That political vacuum, argues many, is where Sondhi’s request to the Thai King will come in. Most neutral observer, says the Red Shirts will not sit aside, as Democracy and the Yinghluck government is torn down. That will in effect leave the Red Shirts and the Abhisit’s Dems voter base, still charged up over the Amnesty Bill by Abhisit Dems, to confront each other, along with remnants of the fascist in Thailand that will assist Abhisit’s Dems voter base. One intelligence agency estimate put the death, in event of a civil war, at about 5,000 to 10,000 Thais. The Red Shirts have been gathering in different parts of Thailand, with the numbers being about 50,000 to 100,000.


Thai Court Says Ruling Party Tried to Overthrow Monarchy


November 20, 2013

A Thai court ruled on Wednesday that a major initiative by the ruling party was an attempt to “overthrow” the constitutional monarchy, creating what one commentator called a power vacuum in a country already made fragile by weeks of antigovernment protests.The court ruled that members of the ruling party, which is controlled by the polarizing billionaire and former prime minister Thaksin Shinawatra, acted against the Constitution when they tried to make the upper house of Parliament directly elected rather than partly appointed. The ruling went to the heart of a power struggle in Thailand between Mr. Thaksin’s powerful political party, which has won every election since 2001 and has a loyal following in the hinterland, and members of the country’s elite, largely based in Bangkok, who are seeking to curtail Mr. Thaksin’s dominance. When Mr. Thaksin was removed from power in a 2006 coup d’état the Thai military appointed a committee that rewrote parts of the Constitution, including making the Senate, the upper house of Parliament, partly appointed by judges.

Mr. Thaksin’s party has tried to roll back those changes.

Supot Kaimook, one of the nine judges of the Constitutional Court, said Wednesday that the rights of the minority in Parliament were being abused. “Thailand’s democratic system allows the majority to set the standard,” he said in the ruling. “But once it uses its power arbitrarily and suppresses the minority without listening to reason, this makes the majority lose its legitimacy.” He said the system could no longer be called “democratic” when the majority acted this way. “It results in the tyranny of the majority,” he said. Members of Mr. Thaksin’s party, Pheu Thai, have said in recent days that the court had no jurisdiction in the matter and they would not accept the ruling. Tens of thousands of government supporters, known as Red Shirts, have massed at a stadium in Bangkok.

In another part of Bangkok, the opposition Democrat Party has drawn tens of thousands of people to protest against Prime Minister Yingluck Shinawatra. Ms. Yingluck is Mr. Thaksin’s sister. Some in Thailand had speculated that the court would dissolve Mr. Thaksin’s party, as has happened twice in the past decade. But the court did not offer a remedy, leaving what Virapat Pariyawong, a Harvard-trained legal expert, said was a vacuum of power.

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