By Stingray, Thai Intel’s national security journalist
To most who have been following Thai Intel, we have laid out the rationale over and over again why Thailand should not be allowed to have nuclear power plants-to cut the risk of nuclear weapon proliferation by an ambitious Thailand.
After reading the Matichon article on the exact words by the Thai prime minister, Abhisit, on the wiki-leaks, there is no doubt that Thailand is greatly concerned about the Burmese junta nuclear weapons plans-and the attempt to down play the news by Abhisit-is entirely apparent from reading the exact wordings that says” “Thailand have been following the developments……The entire ASEAN region is against nuclear weapons proliferation………We had news of N. Korean involvement in the Burmese nuclear weapons ambitions.”
One of Thai Intel’s rationale for reaching the conclusion that Thailand must not have nuclear power plant, as earlier reported, is that the Burmese rise as a a nuclear power would pressure Thailand to respond like-wise.
Today Reuters reported the following-clearly showing Abhisit going against his previous statement on Burma’s nuclear weapons position.
- Thai PM Abhisit Vejjajiva has denied allegations that Burma is looking to develop a nuclear weapon (Reuters)
The following is from Reuters:
Thai Prime Minister Abhisit Vejajiva has said that Burma is not trying to obtain nuclear weapons despite fears voiced in leaked US diplomatic cables that it was developing a programme with the help of North Korea.
“I can remember that Burma confirmed in an ASEAN-US summit that it wanted to see ASEAN as a nuclear-free region,” he told the Bangkok Post, referring to the regional Association of Southeast Asian Nations.
The 10-member bloc is subject to a nuclear-free treaty that came into force on 28 March 1997. Burma formally joined the bloc on the 23 July that year.
Multiple defectors and various anecdotal sources have said however that the generals are attempting to acquire nuclear technology for a weapon. These concerns were heightened by a resumption of diplomatic links between Naypyidaw and Pyongyang, which carried out its most recent nuclear test in May 2009.
A colleague of Abhisit’s in the ruling Democrat Party, Kraisak Choonhavan, told DVB that he thought several ASEAN countries had sought nuclear technology for peaceful purposes, but expressed concern at the “political instability” in Burma and its ability to manage a nuclear reactor, even if for peaceful purposes, which could be “destabilising to the region”.
Abhisit’s government meanwhile has built a steady business relationship with the Burmese junta, securing a major Thai presence in the Dawei (Tavoy) port project in southern Burma.
Diplomatic relations are generally warm, and Burmese Foreign Minister Nyan Win recently held talks with his Thai counterpart, Kasit Piromya, in the Shan border town of Tachilek.
Thailand is one of the main investors in Burma and will be keen to avoid issuing negative statements about its neighbour that could jeopardise the relationship. It will also want to avoid pressure from the international community to press Naypyidaw on the issue of their alleged nuclear ambitions.
While the disclosure of the Burma cables by whistleblowing website Wikileaks were by no means a clear indication of any non-peaceful nuclear activity, they do reflect major concern in the US and elsewhere about the ruling junta’s intentions.
The Reuters article clearly, indicates that for business relations with Burma, Thailand is prepared to ignore nuclear weapon proliferation-and thus this is yet another clear indicator of how Thailand must not be allowed to have nuclear power plants.
The following is from Thai Intel’s earlier posting:
On how Thailand should not be allowed to have nuclear power plants
What would you say if a military general of a country asks his countrymen to get rid of some people in the country?
“ขอให้ทุกคนช่วยกันขจัดบุคคลบางกลุ่มที่จาบจ้วงสถาบัน และหยุดล่วงละเมิด และหันมาเทิดทูน เพราะหากวันนี้ไม่มีสถาบัน เราอาจอยู่ได้ แต่ไม่เหมือนในวันนี้” ผบ.ทบ.กล่าว
“I would like to ask everyone to help rid [Thailand] of some individuals who violate the institution and end the violation and instead turn to respect [the institution] because if one day there is no institution, we will be able to live but it won’t be the same”
BP: Perhaps, Thailand can set up a parliamentary committee to investigate “un-Thai’ activities such as violating the monarchy….
- What does Prayuth’s calling for the getting rid of some individuals mean? Nation, a local Thai newspaper, provides an example:
New Army chief General Prayuth Chan-ocha on Monday promoted dozens of Army officers who had taken part in the April-May crackdown on red shirts, which resulted in 91 deaths, even though the government appointed fact-finding panel looking into these deaths is nowhere close to providing details on the exact circumstances on each.
Prayuth apparently cannot and will not wait until the findings “clear” these officers of any possible wrongdoing, despite the fact various sources in the Army say excessive and lethal force was employed.
Apparently Prayuth doesn’t care.
- “Some Individuals” is actually a “Group of people”
Bangkok Pundit translate Prayuth’s Thai statement into English is in-correctly. The word “กลุ่ม” in the above quote of Prayuth’s wording, actually means “group.” So it is not certain individuals that Prayuth is talking about, but is is getting rid of, “A group of Thais.”
The group that Prayuth is talking about, is very large group of Thais that sees the Thai monarchy as not above the law and it is their basic human rights to discuss the monarchy.
Prayuth is talking about getting rid of a very “Large Group” of people, as though it was a normal and correct thing to do. Does this indicate a “Psychotic” behavior?
- Is Thai Intel over-reacting, in saying that Thailand is not ready for nuclear power, with generals like Prayuth?
Nuclear weapons proliferation is of an extremely important and critical issue and the risks involved must be mitigated. Lets look at Thailand.
- Military Risk: The commander of the Thai army, Pratuth, already called a hot head by the Bangkok Post, that also favored a hard-line approach on the recent crack down on Red Shirt protester, that saw the slaughtering about 100 protesters and 2,000 injured-is now talking about getting rid of a large group of people.
- Political Risk: Thailand has a radical ultra-nationalist political party the Yellow Shirt-with a track record of extremist behavior-that with Prayuth-both share a strong belief in the Thai royalism and are part of the royalist elite rule of Thailand-where the Democratic process is weak and can not provide a counter-balance.
- Nuclear Proliferation Risk: Then Thailand is a relatively rich country with a long track record of developing nuclear scientist, and has plan to purchase 5 nuclear power plants.
- Socio-Cultural Risk: What makes Thailand having nuclear power plants incredibly risky-is that Prayuth’s positions, as psychotic and radical as he sounds, on issues such as getting rid of large groups of Thais-is that in fact, Prayuth is supported widely in Thailand.
The Center for Strategic and International Study
supports a “Nuclear Thailand”
To sum the following article from CSIS or the Center for Strategic and International Study-basically Obama is all gung-ho about selling Thailand nuclear power plants. The potential contract is in the US$ billions and thus-as the article points out-the US Energy Department is interested in working with the Thais.
The N.Korea and Iran Indicators:
There are some considerations here-when we look at N. Korea and Iran-two countries that have nuclear weapons ambitions. So one may ask-what are the ingredients for N. Korea and Iran to want to have nuclear weapons?
It is a combination-about a radical ruling element, a disregard to human values, nationalism-and a strong sense of anti-global mixed in with a sense of uniqueness-and off course-a disregard to international law. And yes-an enemy or the feeling of being at threat.
Does Thailand Exhibit these Indicators?
- The answer is “Without a Doubt.”
A Radical Ruling Elite:
This blog just wants to remind CSIS, that the yellow shirt-a radical, nationalistic, highly aggressive mass movement-has now got a political party going-and enjoys a close link to the current non-democratic government that have breached all norms of “Logic and Rational” behavior. The Yellow Shirt is part of the royalist elite rule of Thailand-that is propping up the current government.
Disregard of Human Lives:
This blog also wants to remind CSIS, that the current government, backed by the military that just slaughtered about 100 protesters-said that if the death of protesters does not exceed 500-that level of death is acceptable and the government can carry on. Together, Prayuth, a potential psychotic and a government that does cold blooded calculations on the lost of human lives in a political game-these indicates the “Severe Mental Imbalances” and a total disregard on human lives.
Disregard of International Concerns and Laws:
This blog also wants to remind CSIS of the total disregard of the current government, backed by the yellow shirt and the military, to any global calls-on practically everything-in the brief Thai civil war and after-meaning-a total disregard of international concerns and law.
An Extremely Aggressive Political Force:
This blog just wants to remind CSIS, that if the yellow shirt comes to power in Thailand, in a more stronger manner, any nuclear plants in Thailand-will undoubtedly lead to nuclear weapons ambitions.
A Sense of Uniqueness and Specialness that Must be Protected against Globalism:
The Thai local press and elite rule of Thailand exhibit ample example of this-to the extreme level.
Fear and Protection:
And as far as enemy for the Thais is concerned-consider Burma nuclear weapon ambitions, the rise of Vietnam-and the Thai animosity with Cambodia-where in this case, against the World Court ruling, Thailand claims Cambodia territory openly.
Thai Intel’s Recommendations:
- Thai Intel recommends CSIS do a detail research on what the yellow shirt have said and done-in the past few yeas. And then do a serious research on Pratuth, a potential psychotic-then make note of the support both receives.
- Then look through the mirage of Thailand being a US ally, all its trimmings of modernity-and deep into the psychosis of the Thai royalist ruling elite.
- Then the picture of how dangerous it is for Thailand to have nuclear power plants-will become crystal clear.
- US embassy cables: Burmese official reports Burma and North Korea’s ‘peaceful nuclear cooperation’ (guardian.co.uk)
- More WikiLeaks: Cables suggest Burma is building secret nuclear sites – Guardian (guardian.co.uk)
- Burma ‘building nuclear and missile sites’ (independent.co.uk)
- Burma ‘building nuclear sites’ (mirror.co.uk)
- WikiLeaks: Burma ‘building nuclear site with North Korea’s help’ (telegraph.co.uk)
- Burmese defector reveals truth about junta’s nuclear ambitions (independent.co.uk)
- Concern at Burma ‘nuclear sites’ (bbc.co.uk)
- Burma’s Secret Nuclear Facilities REVEALED In WikiLeaks (huffingtonpost.com)
- Burma Working on Nuclear Weapon in Secret Jungle Site (newser.com)
- Powerful Generals Fuel New Asian Arms Race (newsweek.com)